Sunday, March 30, 2008

Porfolio Update, 3/30/08

IAU should be sold for a gain of about 9% and the proceeds reinvested in IWN, an ETF that is based upon the Russell 2000 Value Index. Getting close to a buy level on the international segment (current top performer is EWP).

Monday, March 24, 2008

Portfolio Update, 3/24/08

No change in model portfolio.

Thursday, March 20, 2008

Thank you AAII Albuquerque

I appreciated the opportunity to discuss relative strength with you this evening. Your attention and questions will help me a great deal as I prepare this material for other groups. Hopefully, your questions were answered. If you have any other questions, you can leave them as comments here or send me an email at relativestrengthinvesting@gmail.com. Eileen and I thank you for the invitation to your lovely city.

Portfolio Update

Updating late this week due to some travel:

No change to portfolio- continue holding only a single gold-based ETF.

We managed a small gain last week, while the stock markets ended the week with losses. Volatility is driving the markets this week as well. Next portfolio update will be completed by Monday, 3/24.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Dow up 416, we lose money

Yes, we missed the rally yesterday. And we also missed most of the decline. Even after the sharp bounce, the Dow is down for the year while we are up. It'd be nice to win every day, but it's not going to happen. Where to from here? The major averages have traced out what MIGHT be a double bottom pattern, typical of every major bottom since the 1987 crash. Upon confirmation of that, we should see the markets (except the NASDAQ) challenging all time highs.

For now, as always, we let the market tell us what to do next. The systems have worked well in the past and are likely to work well in the future. No need to buy out of panic just like we never sell out of panic.

Sunday, March 9, 2008

Portfolio Update - 3/9/08

It seems like we may never buy anything again as stocks continue declining. The model portfolio declined slightly this week as iShares COMEX Gold (IAU), our only ETF, fell a little bit. The asset allocation strategy remains significantly above its moving average and is likely to remain on a buy for at least the next few weeks.

Sunday, March 2, 2008

Year to date performance

Since the start of the year, this simple relative strength portfolio has gained about 4.5%. For comparision, over the first two months of 2008, stocks are down 7.5%.

Portfolio Update - 3/2/08

With markets remaining volatile, cash remains a large part of our portfolio. The only ETF we are currently holding is iShares COMEX Gold (IAU), which shows a gain of more than 13% since purchased on 1/7.